January 5, 2016
The
Markets
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Investing
in U.S. stock markets during 2015 was a bit like riding a mechanical bull.
Markets jolted up and down but, once the year ended, investors were almost
where they had started.
The
Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500) entered 2015 at about 2,058. It
rose as high as 2,130 during May and fell to about 1,867 in August. As the
year ended, the index was almost at 2,044. It would have finished in negative
territory if it weren't for dividends. With dividends included, the S&P
500 was up 1.4 percent for the year, according to Barron's.
Without dividends, it was down 0.7 percent.
Market
performance left plenty of room for speculation about what the future may
hold. Barron's explained:
"The
problem isn't just that the S&P 500 finished flat but that it finished
trendless...So, as 2016 begins, it's very easy to impose whatever narratives
we want on the market. For the bears, the fact that the market hasn't been
able to hit a new high, and that small caps have underperformed large, is a
sign that the market is peaking...Still, there's enough good news to keep the
bulls heartened...The price of oil, which pulled down S&P 500 earnings in
2015, might be stabilizing...And, remember, Congress just passed a spending
bill that could pick up the stimulus baton from the Federal Reserve."
Regardless
of whether you lean toward bullishness or bearishness, the performance of the
S&P 500 during 2015 reinforced the value of dividends. When it comes to
investing in stocks, there are basically two ways to make money. First, the
value of a company can increase and investors can earn capital gains. Second,
investors may receive dividends, which are a portion of a company's earnings
its board of directors chooses to distribute to shareholders.
During
the past several years, as interest rates have remained persistently low,
dividends have become important to many investors as a source of income. They
also are a critical component of total return. From 1926 through 2014,
dividends accounted for more than 40 percent of the total returns generated
by the S&P 500.
You
may have received a gift from congress
Our
elected leaders did some re-gifting during 2015. They restored tax cuts that
had been allowed to expire and made them retroactive for 2015. Kiplinger's
reported, "In an important twist to the habitual year-end gamesmanship,
however, this time Congress actually made many of [the tax cuts] permanent
and even improved a few." The tax law changes help people who:
These
are just a few of the tax cuts Congress passed. Give us a call to discuss how
these tax changes, and others, may benefit you.
Weekly
Focus - Think About It
"I
live my life in widening circles that reach out across the world."
--Rainer
Maria Rilke, Austrian poet
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